Here’s how Apple’s 30% commission might affect ebook apps



Update: It seems Apple has somewhat confirmed that ebook apps are included in the new requirements. My two predicted changes below remain fairly accurate, but now you can add two more potential changes: either the apps will go away completely, or ebook prices could rise.

Last week I was convinced that Apple wouldn’t try to enforce an In App Purchase (IAP) requirement on ebook apps, mainly because when it rejected the Sony app earlier this month, it approved a significant Kobo app update at the same time.

Sony deliberately avoided details while it begged for sympathy from the press, but between the lines it looked like it had tried to implement its own proprietary IAP functionality, which Apple has never allowed. No one should have been surprised that it was rejected (and I imagine Sony expected the rejection all along).

In addition, everything that’s been reported by real news agencies so far has focused on Apple’s scheme to make money off of magazine and newspaper subscriptions, not off of competitors’ individual ebook sales.

Well, today Apple finally clarified how this new IAP policy will work for subscriptions, and with two possible exceptions it looks like ebooks were excluded.

The crucial descriptive element for determining what falls under the new policy is “subscriptions”: if you sell some sort of subscription service, whether it involves text, pictures, music or video, Apple now will take a cut of any new customers acquired within the app. This likely includes companies like Netflix and Pandora, but I’m not sure if Apple will consider other subscription-based services — like Toodledo and scanR — to be “content providers” in the same way.

So the good news, if I’m reading this correctly, is that non-subscription ebook apps will still be around when the dust settles — and it’s unlikely that Apple’s new policies will trigger an across-the-board price hike as I initially feared.

The bad news, however, is that the new policy will probably lead to reduced functionality with your ebook app of choice, mainly when it comes to shopping and reading periodicals. Here’s why.

1. Links to web stores might go away. Apple forbids apps that fall under these new rules to link to external payment mechanisms in the browser. This definitely prevents, say, a magazine app from linking to a web page that sells subscriptions, but it’s not clear yet whether the rule will also apply to apps that offer single payment purchases, like the Kindle, Nook and Kobo apps. Common sense says no, since they aren’t selling subscriptions, but Apple says publishers may not link to a page that sells content or subscriptions, so it’s possible this includes ebooks.

2. Ebook sellers likely won’t offer magazines and newspapers on the iOS platform. Since magazine and newspaper subscriptions are expressly listed under the new rules, companies like Kobo will likely have to either remove their own magazine and newspaper subscriptions, or use Apple’s IAP feature and take the loss (or else hike prices). I suspect this is why Amazon rolled out magazine and newspaper support to Android devices last year, but has so far held off on bringing the same functionality to iOS. (I’ve seen a Kindle magazine on the Kindle iOS app, and it works fine — the issue isn’t a technical one.) My guess is the Kobo subscriptions will stop showing up on iOS apps by summer.

It’s still possible that Apple will go after ebooks, but I’m not sure they have any reason to pick a fight over this, especially when the opponent would be Amazon. Besides, the crucial difference between ebooks and periodicals on iOS is ebooks are already here, and people are already used to paying certain prices for them; an across-the-board price hike would not only meet a lot of resistance but earn Apple a ton of negative scrutiny by the press and (more important) the government. Periodicals, on the other hand, are still in an embryonic state on the platform, and they’re often considered too expensive by customers in their current single-issue format.

I’m still no fan of this idea that iOS users are “owned” by Apple, but for now I’m cautiously optimistic that ebook apps will stick around for a while longer. And if not, hey, there’s always Android.

“Apple Launches Subscriptions on the App Store” [Apple]

(Photo: pasukaru76)

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